Age and Ageing
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Age and Ageing's content profile, based on 27 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Mirea Conley, E.; Bell, G.; Fountain, J.; Cadar, D.; Tabet, N.; Bosco, A.
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Background: In the UK, over 36 million contacts are made annually by people living with dementia (PLWD) to either primary or secondary community mental health services. As dementia progresses, PLWD may experience increased distress and resort to 999 calls for an ambulance, which may in turn result in conveyance to Accident & Emergency (A&E). Nearly 1 million A&E attendances are made by PLWD. This trend is set to rise sharply as the prevalence rates of dementia increase over time and as the condition progresses, with associated healthcare costs impacting overall care delivery. This may lead to reduced resource allocation for dementia emergency services, negatively affecting the experiences of both providers and service users. Aim(s): To explore ways to improve access and quality of care to emergency crisis care for PLWD from the perspective of healthcare staff providing this type of support. Methods: This qualitative study explored (1) the experiences, resources, and needs of healthcare professionals in emergency and community settings to support access for PLWD, and (2) the mechanisms influencing dementia crisis response. The COREQ Checklist was used to improve transparency, credibility, and reproducibility. Inter-rater reliability was calculated. PPIE contributors co-developed recommendations for healthcare professionals, and study findings informed a comic-based dissemination resource shared with third-sector organisations to support community awareness and engagement. Results: Fifteen interviews were held with emergency services staff. Inter-rater reliability was substantial between two raters (k = 0.62). Four overarching themes, with associated subthemes, were identified relating to crisis care delivery, barriers to effective response, and strategies employed to address these challenges. Additional themes captured decision-making processes at key points in the care pathway, including initial crisis response, during intervention, and at discharge from emergency and community services. Decision-making was characterised by the need to balance patient safety with autonomy in determining care in the best interests of PLWD and their informal carers. Discussion: This exploratory study reveals frontline staff perspectives on challenges and actionable strategies for dementia crisis care. Findings support targeted service improvements, cross-sector collaboration, and co-produced resources to enhance outcomes for PLWD and their informal carers.
Mathlin, G.; Cooper, C.; Teoh, L.; Mukadam, N.; Banerjee, S.; Birks, Y.; Demnitz-King, H.; Hunter, R.
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Background: People affected by dementia experience intersecting care inequalities. We explored relationships between ethnicity and health and social care resource use among people with dementia in an ethnically diverse urban region. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using Discover-NOW, including patients with dementia between 1.4.2015 and 1.4.2025. We calculated ethnic density as the percentage of the Middle Layer Super Output Area (SOA) population self-identifying with the same ethnic group. Regression models, clustered by Local SOA, tested whether ethnic density moderated relationships between ethnicity and primary care, outpatient, inpatient, emergency and social care service use, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, deprivation, comorbidities and time of diagnosis. Findings: We included 30,704 people with dementia. People from Black and Mixed ethnic groups used more primary care, and those from Asian ethnic groups less primary and secondary care, than White ethnic groups. Rates of local authority social care packages were similar across ethnic groups. High ethnic density predicted fewer GP consultations in Black ethnic groups, but more in South Asian groups. Interpretation: Among Black ethnic groups, primary care use was relatively high, especially in areas of low ethnic density, perhaps reflecting greater needs among communities at risk of racism and isolation. The trend towards increased primary care use among South Asian people in areas of higher ethnic density may reflect communities mitigating help-seeking hesitancy related to cultural and language barriers. Greater care integration could reduce care inequalities among minority ethnic communities who may experience fewer barriers to social relative to health care.
Eaglestone, G. L.; stoner, c.; pacella, r.; McCrone, P.
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Objectives: To describe secondary mental healthcare utilisation and associated costs among patients diagnosed with dementia or mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Design: Retrospective cohort study using routinely collected electronic health record data. Setting: Secondary mental healthcare services within a large NHS mental health provider in South London, UK. Participants: Adults aged 18 years or older with a recorded diagnosis of dementia or MCI between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020. Patients surviving less than one year after diagnosis were excluded. The final cohort comprised 16,081 individuals. Primary and secondary outcome measures: Service utilisation and NHS mental health service costs during the 12 months before and after diagnosis, including inpatient, outpatient and memory clinic contacts. Results: The proportion of patients with at least one recorded mental health service contact declined from 91% in the 12 months before diagnosis to 69% after diagnosis. Among service users, mean NHS mental health costs increased from GBP 1,497 to GBP 2,177 per person following diagnosis (mean increase GBP 680; p<0.001), driven primarily by inpatient care. Dementia diagnosis, younger age, male gender, living alone, greater cognitive impairment and higher clinical symptom burden were independently associated with higher costs. Ethnic differences in service use and costs were also observed. Conclusions: Although overall service engagement declined following diagnosis, costs increased among those continuing to access care, indicating greater intensity of service use. Understanding patterns of secondary mental healthcare utilisation and associated costs may help inform planning and resource allocation within dementia services.
Rathmell, C. S.; Sun, H.; Ge, W.; Magdamo, C.; Das, S.; Moura, L. M. V. R.; Zafar, S. F.; Akeju, O.; Mukherji, S. S.; Shaw, K. M.; Westover, M. B.
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BackgroundMultiple studies suggest bidirectional links between delirium and Alzheimers Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD). Although they establish a strong association between delirium and subsequent ADRD, it has not been explored using statistical causal inference which makes the best use of observational data to minimize biases. MethodsWe conducted an emulated clinical trial to estimate the effect of experiencing delirium during hospitalization between April 2017 and September 2019 on the cumulative incidence of ADRD over two years following hospital admission in patients 65 and older. The emulated trial used observational data from individuals in the Mass General Brigham Electronic Medical Record (EMR). We carried out statistical causal survival analysis using methods that adjust for confounding, censoring, competing risks, and immortal-time bias, including inverse propensity weighting (IPW) and g-formula approaches. ResultsOf the 6029 patients hospitalized in this time frame who were 65 or older with evidence of a PCP in the EMR, 5901 were included in the analysis based on no history of dementia diagnosis or medications 12 months prior to admission. At two years post-admission, the adjusted cumulative incidence of ADRD in individuals who did not experience delirium was 7.6% (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 4.0-12.1%) while it was 20.2% (95% CI 13.2-27.9%) for those who did experience delirium when calculated using the IPW method. ConclusionsOur emulated trial results argue for a strong association between delirium during hospitalization and the risk of developing ADRD in the two years following hospital admission in individuals 65 and older. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSWe sought to answer whether statistical causal inference would show the same association between delirium and the onset of dementia in the two years following hospitalization. FindingsOur emulated trial results argue for a strong association between delirium during hospitalization and the risk of developing ADRD in the two years following hospital admission in individuals 65 and older. MeaningThe implications of demonstrating this relationship underscore the importance of delirium-mitigating interventions for long-term cognitive outcomes.
Gallagher, V.; Sheehan, C.; Manning, C.; Shaffer, K.
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Background The majority of family dementia caregivers in the United States (U.S.) are now young and middleaged adults. However, little research has been conducted to understand how caregiver needs and preferences for support differ depending on their phase of adulthood. This study evaluated differences in mental health, caregiving readiness, desired supports, and intervention preferences among early (<46 years), middle (46 to 60 years), and late (>60 years) adulthood dementia caregivers. Methods A cross sectional survey was conducted with 202 family dementia caregivers aged 22 to 88. Caregivers completed validated measures of burden, anxiety, depression, well being, time pressure, dementia knowledge, caregiving preparedness, and positive aspects of caregiving. Desired supports and preferences for intervention format, program type, and frequency were assessed. Analyses examined both categorical adulthood phase and continuous age associations with caregiver outcomes, with alpha thresholds of p<.05. Results Early adulthood caregivers self reported higher anxiety symptoms (relative to late adulthood caregivers) and perceived time pressure (relative to middle and late adulthood caregivers). Relative to late adulthood caregivers only, early adulthood caregivers more frequently endorsed desired support for supplemental care and safety tools for the person with dementia, as well as willingness to engage in individual counseling and automated, digital supports. Relative to both middle adulthood and late adulthood caregivers, they also more frequently expressed desired support for their own mental health. Conclusions Dementia caregiving in early adulthood is associated with distinct psychological and practical support needs, suggesting life course informed interventions may enhance relevance and engagement.
Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [≥] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [≥] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.
Leonhardt, R.; Lindemann, U.; Schneider, M.; Rapp, K.; Klenk, J.
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Background: Wheeled walkers can improve safety during walking, but improper use may increase fall risk among frail older adults. No suitable tool exists to assess safe indoor wheeled walker use in this population. This study aimed to develop and validate a video-based expert assessment tool. Methods: Based on the literature and expert consensus, seven problematic indoor situations were identified, and an assessment tool with five safety criteria per situation was developed (maximum score = 35). Fifty participants (mean age 83.9 years, 64% women) from a geriatric rehabilitation clinic and a nursing home were video-recorded while using a rollator. Expert ratings were compared with nursing staff ratings, self-ratings, and the Timed Up and Go test to evaluate validity. Intra- and inter-rater reliability were determined from independent ratings by two physiotherapists and a repeated expert rating after seven days. Sensitivity to change was assessed after two weeks of rehabilitation, and feasibility by the time required for assessment. Results: The expert score of rater 1 at baseline was 28.5 points, and assessment required a mean of 17.5 minutes. Intra-rater reliability was excellent (ICC = 0.98) and inter-rater reliability was good (ICC = 0.80). Validity analyses showed the strongest association with nursing staff assessments (r = 0.74) and a moderate association with the Timed Up and Go test (r = -0.45). After two weeks, patients improved by an average of 2.38 points (8.4% of baseline score). Conclusions: The new instrument demonstrated high reliability, acceptable validity, sensitivity to change, and good feasibility for assessing safe wheeled walker use in frail older adults. Trial registration number and date of registration: DRKS00038358, 07/11/2025
Xia, X.; Balcha, Y. M.; Carballo-Casla, A.; Aho, E.; Willers, C.; Rydwik, E.; Calderon-Larranaga, A.; Kugelberg, S.; Berggreen-Clausen, A.; Garpsater, J.; Jonsson, L.
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Background The study aimed to estimate healthcare costs associated with malnutrition in Swedish older adults. Methods We conducted a cohort study using data from the population-based Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K, N = 2982), a geriatric inpatient cohort of complex patients (N = 7680), and a cohort of individuals with cognitive impairment from the Swedish Register of Cognitive/Dementia Disorders (SveDem, N = 64192). At risk of malnutrition and malnutrition were ascertained by the Mini-Nutritional Assessment in SNAC-K and the geriatric inpatient cohort. In SveDem, body mass index was used for identifying malnutrition. Healthcare resource use was derived from regional and national registers. Associations between malnutrition and healthcare costs in 2024 Swedish kronor (SEK) were analyzed using two-part models and generalized linear regression models, adjusting for demographic and clinical factors. Findings In the community, at risk of malnutrition and malnutrition were associated with an increase in annual healthcare costs of 2267 SEK (95% CI: 64,4469) and 1846 SEK (95% CI: -6802,10493), respectively. In geriatric patients, healthcare costs over 6 months in individuals at risk of malnutrition and individuals with malnutrition were 60205 SEK (45613,74798) and 86619 SEK (68362,104875) higher than those without malnutrition. In people with cognitive impairment, malnutrition was associated with higher annual healthcare costs (22170 SEK, 95% CI: 15152,29188). Interpretation Both at risk of malnutrition and malnutrition are associated with higher healthcare costs in Swedish older adults. The study findings are important for informing future economic evaluations of malnutrition interventions in Swedish older adults.
Vickers, K. L.; De Wit, L.; Goldstein, F. C.; Thelin, J.; Giannotto, E. L.; Saurman, J. L.; Levey, A. I.; Rodriguez, A. D.
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Background: Individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) experience cognitive and functional declines that can negatively impact mood and reduce feelings of self-efficacy. These changes can also lead to elevated distress in care partners (CPs). Therefore, interventions that address quality of life and psychosocial factors in people with MCI and their CPs are needed. Objective: The present study evaluated the impact of a multidomain lifestyle program, the Cognitive Empowerment Program (CEP), on changes in psychosocial functioning, particularly empowerment, in people with MCI and their CPs. Methods: Participants were 94 people with MCI (Mean= 75.1 years old, 45.7% female, 81.9% white) and their CPs (Mean= 69.1 years old, 71.3% female, 87.3% white) that completed the 12-month CEP program comprised of physical, cognitive, and psychosocial interventions. Questionnaires were administered pre- and post-program to assess empowerment, self-efficacy, meaning and purpose, depression, and stress in participants with MCI alongside empowerment, depression, stress, and caregiving burden in CPs. Results: After completing the CEP program, participants with MCI endorsed higher empowerment and self-efficacy as well as fewer symptoms of depression and perceived stress. CPs endorsed feeling more empowered despite elevated caregiver burden. Conclusions: These results suggest multidomain lifestyle programs can positively impact wellbeing in MCI. Future research should focus on refining delivery models, exploring integration with pharmacological treatments, prioritizing inclusion of diverse populations, and measuring long-term outcomes to strengthen the reach and impact of programs like CEP.
Guo, C.; Wang, Y.; Sun, X.; Ge, F.
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Aims. The risk of cognitive decline after losing a spouse remained mixed. This study aims to investigate the association between spousal loss and risk of cognitive decline, assess whether this association varies by sex and age, and identify modifiable factors. Methods. We conducted a prospective cohort study using harmonized data from six population-based aging surveys: the US Health and Retirement Study and its sister surveys in England, Mexico, China, India, and South Africa, incorporating their respective Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol (HCAP) sub-studies. Spousal loss (yes vs no) was the exposure. Cognitive outcomes (i.e., orientation, memory, executive function, and language), were assessed using HCAP neuropsychological batteries. We conducted parallel analyses in six cohorts. Associations between spousal loss and cognitive outcomes were estimated using generalized linear models, and summarised estimates were derived via random-effects meta-analyses. Sex stratification and restricted cubic spines were used to examine how these associations vary by sex and age, respectively. Results. The analytical cohort consisted of 18,551 individuals aged 61.22 (SD 6.30) to 71.37 (SD 7.33) years. Widowhood prevalence ranged from 14.1% in CHARLS to 53.9% in HAALSI and was consistently higher in women. Spousal loss was associated with poorer memory (multivariable-adjusted {beta} = -0.07, 95% CI -0.12 to -0.01) and executive function (multivariable-adjusted {beta} = -0.08, 95% CI -0.13 to -0.03) in the meta-analysis, with no significant associations for orientation or language. While results were generally consistent in five cohorts, the ELSA showed divergent patterns (orientation: {beta} = 0.10, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.13; memory: {beta} = 0.05, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.08; language: {beta} = 0.16, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.19). Sex-stratified analyses indicated poorer executive function among men (multivariable-adjusted {beta} = -0.14, 95% CI -0.19 to -0.08) and poorer memory among women (multivariable-adjusted {beta} = -0.07, 95% CI -0.14 to -0.01) following widowhood. Nonlinear age-related effects on cognition were observed in ELSA, LASI, and HAALSI. Higher education, internet use, and BMI were negatively associated with the risk of cognitive decline among widowed participants. Conclusions. Spousal loss is associated with domain- and sex-specific differences in cognitive performance, with substantial heterogeneity across study populations. Future research should integrate biopsychosocial markers to develop context-sensitive interventions for widowed older adults.
Mendu, M.; Tesh, R. A.; Pellerin, K.; Steward, G. E.; Cerda, I. H.; Williams, M.; Colman, M.; Shah, S.; Lam, A. D.; Cash, S. S.; Westover, M. B.; Kimchi, E. Y.
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Delirium, a dynamic neuropsychiatric condition associated with morbidity and mortality, remains underdiagnosed due to reliance on subjective, intermittent screening tools. Objective and potentially continuous identification is needed to improve clinical care. We developed and validated an analytic framework for delirium classification based on automatically extracted video features. In this prospective cohort study, patients ([≥] 18 years) admitted to the inpatient medical or neurological ward of a tertiary academic center between August 2020 and March 2022 with an expected stay longer than one night were enrolled. Daily structured delirium assessments and brief video recordings were performed in consenting patients. Videos were analyzed using deep learning pose estimation to extract keypoints and calculate behavioral features based on eye, face, and limb postures and movements. Four machine learning models (logistic regression, gradient boosting, support vector machines, and random forests) were trained to predict delirium status from extracted features. Model performance was evaluated on 20 repetitions of three-fold cross-validation using the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC ROC). The cohort included 109 videos from 25 male and 25 female participants (median age: 72, IQR: 63.25-78). Twenty videos (18%) were from patients with delirium. Keypoints for this dataset were more accurately extracted using a customized ResNet-101 model developed with DeepLabCut (sensitivity 0.94, specificity 0.89, compared to human-labeled gold standards) than using off-the-shelf models. Keypoints were then used to generate behavioral features summarizing movement and postures throughout the video. A support vector machine model achieved an average delirium classification AUC ROC of 0.79 (SD {+/-} 0.09), sensitivity of 0.71 (SD {+/-} 0.16), and specificity of 0.78 (SD {+/-} 0.07). This study demonstrates the feasibility of identifying delirium using brief videos in clinically heterogeneous cohorts and reveals novel features for objective identification. Author SummaryDelirium is a sudden change in attention and awareness that commonly affects hospitalized patients. It is linked with longer hospital stays, cognitive decline, and death. Patients with delirium often show changes in movements and behaviors such as slowed movement, restlessness, or excessive scanning of the environment. Since current screening tools rely on intermittent human interactions, they can be subjective and miss the fluctuating nature of delirium, leading to underdiagnosis. We sought to explore whether short video recordings could be used to detect delirium automatically. In our study, we enrolled 50 hospitalized patients and conducted daily delirium assessments and video recordings. We used a machine learning model to analyze patients eye movements, facial expressions, and body postures. We found that video-derived features could be used to identify delirium in a small clinical cohort. While needing further validation in outside cohorts, this study shows an important proof-of-concept for objective delirium monitoring in heterogeneous clinical contexts without adding burden to clinical staff.
Benny, R.; Desai, A.; Venkitachalam, A.; Thakkar, V.; Rajput, R.; Chakrabarty, S.
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Background: Freezing of gait (FOG) in Parkinson's disease (PD) is provoked by turning, doorways and dual-task walking. We evaluated WALK, a cadence-linked vibration neuromodulation combined with motor-learning training. Methods: Single-centre, sham-controlled pilot randomised trial. Adults with PD (Hoehn and Yahr 2 to 4) and neurologist-verified FOG were randomised 1:1 to intervention (WALK; vibration enabled) or sham (WALK; vibration disabled), alongside identical supervised home-based training for 6 weeks (3 sessions per week). OFF-medication assessments were performed at S0, S8 and S16. At S8 and S16, assessments were completed without a device and then with a device (fixed order). The primary endpoint was the mZ-FOG total (0 to 36). Results: Forty participants completed follow-up assessments (intervention n=24; sham n=16) with 100% session adherence and no serious device-related adverse events. In the intervention group, mZ-FOG total improved when assessed with the device at S8 ({Delta}=8.08) and S16 ({Delta}=9.21) relative to S0, with partial retention when assessed without the device at S16 ({Delta}=5.54). Conclusions: Cadence-linked, localised vibration neuromodulation plus motor-learning training was feasible and was associated with clinically meaningful within-intervention-group reductions in FOG. Taken together, the effect sizes and task-specific pattern support progression to a multicentre, assessor-blinded trial with an active sham, powered for between-group comparisons and durability and/or adherence endpoints.
Forbes, M.; Lotfaliany, M.; Miteku, B. M.; Yu, C.; Lacaze, P.; Isvoranu, A.-M.; Kang, M.; Nguyen, T.; Woods, R.; McNeil, J.; Neumann, J.; Mohebbi, M.; Berk, M.
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Background Low-level systemic inflammation has been associated with late-life depressive symptoms. Whether individuals with higher inflammation derive preventive benefit from low-dose aspirin therapy is unknown. Methods We performed a post-hoc analysis of the ASPiring in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Baseline C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured in plasma and depressive symptoms were assessed annually using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression 10 Scale with elevated symptoms defined as CES-D-10 >= 8. Participants with elevated depressive symptoms at baseline were excluded. We fitted population-averaged logistic generalised estimating equation models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and lifestyle covariates, including an hsCRP x treatment interaction to test effect modification by aspirin. Results Higher baseline hsCRP was associated with increased odds of elevated depressive symptoms during follow-up (OR 1.07 per SD increase in hsCRP, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). Low-dose aspirin allocation did not modify the hsCRP-depressive symptoms association (interaction OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94-1.10). Findings were similar after additional adjustment for comorbidity and other covariates. Conclusions In community-dwelling older adults during the ASPREE randomised trial period, higher baseline hsCRP was modestly associated with elevated depressive symptoms. There was no evidence that low-dose aspirin was associated with reduced risk of depressive symptoms among participants with higher baseline inflammation.
Noguchi, T.; Ide, K.; Fujihara, S.; Kawagome, A.; Saito, M.; Kondo, K.; Ojima, T.
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Background: The Dementia Supporter Initiative is a national public education program in Japan that aims to foster positive attitudes and appropriate understanding of dementia to support people with Alzheimer's disease and related dementia in the community. However, its influence on the community as a whole remains unclear. Objective: This study examined the relationship between dementia supporter training and residents' attitudes and recognition related to dementia at the municipal level. Methods: This ecological cross-sectional study linked municipal-level data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study 2022 wave with publicly available information on the number of dementia supporters. Residents' beliefs and attitudes toward dementia and recognition of dementia consultation services were assessed by mail questionnaires and aggregated at municipal level. The proportion of dementia supporters in each municipality was calculated as of September 2022. Results: Data from 69 municipalities were analyzed. The mean proportion of dementia supporters was 13.47% (2.62-44.85). A higher proportion of dementia supporters was positively correlated with community support-seeking for a family member with dementia (r = 0.328) and recognition of dementia consultation services (r = 0.501). Regression analysis adjusted for municipal covariates also showed their positive associations (per 10-percentage-point increase: coef. = 1.44, p = 0.047; coef. = 3.12, p < 0.001, respectively). No associations were observed with residents' positive attitudes and appropriate understandings of dementia. Conclusions: Wider dissemination of dementia supporters may contribute to better recognition of community support resources, but may be insufficient to influence broader public attitudes and understanding of dementia at the community level.
Yurkovich, J. T.; Glass, E.; Levine, N.; Lee, S.; Ehlen, K.; Hernandez, E.; Gharti, P.; Fernando, A.; Witherington, D.; Pflieger, L.; Erram, J.; Rappaport, N.; Le, A.; Newman, J. C.; Stubbs, B.
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Abstract Background: Biological systems exhibit dynamic patterns over multiple temporal scales -from minutes to months- that are poorly captured by conventional cross-sectional or low-frequency longitudinal studies. These patterns, including circadian and ultradian rhythms, may be critical determinants of health, resilience, and disease risk in aging. Existing longitudinal studies in older adults lack high-frequency, multimodal measurements that integrate molecular, physiological, and digital health data streams. Objectives: The TIME Study aims to: (i) Characterize temporal patterns in molecular, physiological, and digital health measures in healthy older adults; (ii) determine how these patterns vary across biological domains and relate to each other; and (iii) assess how physiological systems respond to defined perturbations (oral glucose tolerance and maximal exercise). Methods: TIME is a single-site, observational, longitudinal study enrolling up to 150 adults aged [≥] 55 years. Over an 11-week main phase, participants complete seven weekly low-frequency visits, two perturbation challenge visits, and two, two-day high-frequency sampling epochs. Biospecimens, clinical measures, cognitive and physical performance tests, and continuous digital health data are collected. Follow-up visits occur at 6 and 12 months. Expected Impact: By integrating multimodal, temporally resolved data, TIME will provide a foundational dataset for understanding the role of biological rhythms in aging and inform future precision health strategies.
Kiss, Z.; Meszner, Z.; Kulcsar, A.; Bogos, K.; Habon, T.; Moldvay, J.; Papai-Szekely, Z.; Tamasi, L.; Torzsa, P.; Voko, Z.; Wittmann, I.; Molnar, G. A.; Rokszin, G.; Kovacs, V.; Abonyi-Toth, Z.; Barcza, Z.; Szabo, T. G.; Varnai, M.; Odhiambo, R.; Berta, A.; Darida, M.; Horvath, I.; Kovacs, K. A.; Neuhauser, N.; Lakatos, B.; Muller, V.
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Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major global health burden disproportionately affecting older adults and people with comorbidities, with Streptococcus pneumoniae as one of the leading bacterial causes in Europe. The Hungarian Occurrence and Burden of PnEumonia (Hungarian-HOPE) study examined the incidence, hospitalization rates, and mortality of CAP between 2016 and 2020 in Hungary. Methods: The National Health Insurance Fund database was used to identify adult CAP patients (all-cause) based on ICD-10 codes J10-18. Outcomes included CAP incidence, 0-15-day hospitalization, and 0-30-day mortality after hospitalization, stratified by age, sex, and comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], asthma, cardiovascular disease [CVD], and type 1 and 2 diabetes [T1DM, T2DM]). Risk maps visualized relative risk gradients across population strata. Results: During the pre-pandemic period (2016-2019), over 100,000 CAP cases and more than 50,000 hospitalizations were recorded annually. In 2020, recorded cases fell to approximately 98,000, while hospitalizations increased to 66,200. Hospitalization rates increased from 25.1% in 2016 to 29.1% in 2019, then increased to 43.1% in 2020. The 30-day mortality among hospitalized patients rose from 22.7% in 2016 to 23.6% in 2019. Incidence, hospitalization, and mortality all increased with age. Relative to healthy males aged 30-39 years, CAP risk escalated steeply in the [≥]80 years cohort (incidence 5-15-fold; hospitalization >3-fold; mortality 11-24-fold) and was further amplified by COPD, CVD, or T2DM, with a lesser effect for T1DM. Conclusions: The results highlight the substantial age- and comorbidity-driven CAP burden in Hungary and support prioritization of preventive strategies including pneumococcal vaccination for older adults and high-risk groups.
Squire, K.
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Background. The emergency department in the United States of America functions as a residual access point for healthcare and social services for populations including rural communities, the uninsured, mental health and addiction patients, and the unhoused. The workforce variable that determines unit function (experience density, the concentration of accumulated clinical judgment within a unit workforce) is not measured in hospital accounting systems. Objective. To document workforce composition changes in U.S. emergency nursing across the 2018 and 2022 cycles of the National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses (NSSRN), and to specify falsifiable predictions for the 2026 cycle. Methods. We analyzed NSSRN public-use files using a four-way ED definition extending Castner et al. (2024) and a hospital-bedside-restricted comparator. Variance estimation used jackknife replicate weights for 2018 and Successive Differences Replication for 2022. Burnout was operationalized using the Norful et al. (2023) leaving-reasons proxy across cycles, with sensitivity analysis using the 2022 direct burnout item. Results. A 15-year trajectory (2008-2022) documents progressive experience-density compression: the ED's 15+ year veteran cohort fell from 41.9% to 28.0% over the decade preceding the pandemic, a loss of nearly a third of the senior cohort and a 19.6% decline in mean experience density, before recovering modestly to 33.3% as veteran nurses remained through the pandemic acute phase, leaving the ED as the youngest hospital setting throughout. Hospital non-ED bedside nurses lost senior tenure between cycles (mean 15.65[->]14.06 years since first licensure; 15+ year share 43.5%[->]38.7%), while ED nurses retained their senior tail (mean 11.60[->]12.58). Burnout endorsement rose sharply in both populations (non-ED 27.3%[->]46.0%; ED 34.2%[->]61.2%), with the ED-vs-non-ED gap more than doubling. Controlling for tenure, ED status was not independently associated with burnout in 2018 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.83-1.59) but was strongly associated in 2022 (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.44-2.55; p<.001). The direct burnout item showed a parallel pattern (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.62-5.28). Conclusions. A pandemic-era setting-specific burnout effect emerged in emergency nursing that workforce-composition controls cannot explain. The 2022 cycle establishes a pre-exit baseline against which the 2026 NSSRN will serve as the falsifiable test of post-Omicron veteran exit. Nursing pipeline replacement lag exceeds the interval before 2026 data arrives; the consequences of inaction fall on populations dependent on ED-based residual access.
Lee, J. H.; Jinsi, M.; Feldman, M. J.; Hobgood, S.
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Burn trauma disproportionately impacts older adults, yet existing burn severity models emphasize age, total body surface area (TBSA), and inhalation injury without accounting for geriatric-specific vulnerabilities such as frailty. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 326 geriatric patients admitted with burn injuries between 2020 and 2024 to evaluate how TBSA, burn location, inhalation injury, renal insufficiency, comorbidities, and functional dependence in activities of daily living (ADLs) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) affect in- hospital mortality and discharge disposition. Based on multivariable logistic regression and chi- square analyses, TBSA, as expected, emerged as the strongest predictor across models. Each 1% increase in TBSA was associated with a 7% increase in the odds of in-hospital mortality (p=0.006) and a 12 to 19% increase in odds of post-acute care placement (p<0.001). Inhalation injury and renal insufficiency were also independently associated with increased odds of both mortality and post-acute care disposition, whereas respiratory comorbidity predicted mortality alone. Functional status demonstrated outcome-specific prognostic value: ADL dependence predicted mortality, while IADL dependence predicted discharge disposition. Patients with some ADL dependence had five-fold higher odds of in-hospital mortality (p=0.011), while some (OR=2.48, p= 0.039) and full IADL dependence (OR=2.61, p=0.025) were associated with higher odds of post-acute care placement. Integrating structured functional assessments that distinguish basic from instrumental limitations alongside established burn severity metrics may enhance prognostication and guide individualized care planning for older adults with burn injuries.
Lo, J. W.; Crawford, J. D.; Samaras, K.; Lipton, R. B.; Katz, M. J.; Derby, C. A.; Preux, P.-M.; Guerchet, M.; d'Orsi, E.; Quialheiro, A.; Rech, C. R.; Ritchie, K.; Rolandi, E.; Davin, A.; Rossi, M.; Shahar, S.; Rajab, N.; Rivan, N. F. M.; Ganguli, M.; Jacobsen, E.; Snitz, B. E.; Brodaty, H.; Chen, Y.-C.; Chen, J.-H.; Lennon, M.; Lipnicki, D. M.; Sachdev, P. S.
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INTRODUCTION: Cognitive trajectories may clarify how type 2 diabetes (T2D) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) relate to dementia risk, but longitudinal associations remain unclear, particularly in the context of stroke. METHODS: Data from 5,631 dementia- and stroke-free older adults (mean age 75 years) from 7 international population-based cohorts were analyzed. Linear mixed-effects models estimated cognitive trajectories during stroke-free and post-stroke follow-up. Glucose status was defined by fasting glucose and prior T2D diagnosis. RESULTS: Over 6.6 years of follow-up (4.5% with incident stroke), T2D was associated with lower baseline cognitive performance compared with normal fasting glucose (-0.14 SD, 95% CI -0.21 to -0.07), but not with faster cognitive decline during stroke-free or post-stroke follow-up. IFG was not associated with lower cognitive performance or faster decline. DISCUSSION: In older adults, T2D was associated with persistently lower cognitive performance but not faster decline, suggesting adverse cognitive effects may be established before late life.
Kalita, A.; Chattopadhyay, A.; Bhattacharjee, M.; Das, K.
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Background. Conventional ICU severity scores - SOFA, qSOFA, and APACHE-II - use additive integer weightings that cannot capture non-linear organ failure interactions; prospective validations consistently report AUC near 0.73. None quantifies prediction uncertainty, evaluates demographic equity, or acknowledges that their key biomarkers (albumin, creatinine, BUN, lactate, GCS) are also primary confounders of emerging Alzheimer's disease (AD) blood biomarkers p-tau217 and neurofilament light chain (NfL). Methods. Fourteen classifiers were trained on a SOFA-calibrated synthetic ICU cohort (N = 90,000; mortality 29.2%), including an FT-Transformer, XGBoost, and LightGBM tuned by Bayesian optimisation. Seven composite features were engineered from clinical first principles; the novel lactate/albumin ratio (rLA) mirrors the albumin-adjusted p-tau217 correction formula. Post-hoc analyses included nine-method aggregated permutation importance, Monte Carlo Dropout uncertainty decomposition (T = 50), distribution-free conformal prediction, a three-zone triage system, formal ablation, survival analysis, temporal deployment validation, and demographic fairness evaluation. Results. On a natural-distribution held-out cohort (n = 18,000; mortality 29.3%), XGBoost achieved AUC = 0.967 (95% CI 0.965-0.970), surpassing SOFA (AUC = 0.731) by +0.236 (DeLong z = 55.8, p < 0.001; NRI = +0.740). Selective prediction raised FT-Transformer AUC from 0.917 to 0.980 at 50% abstention. Removing neurodegeneration-proxy features reduced AUC by 9.51 percentage points. ML probability was the sole significant covariate in adjusted Cox regression (HR = 6.19, p < 0.001); SOFA, age, lactate, and albumin were non-significant. Temporal AUC range was 0.003 across four deployment windows; sex and age AUC gaps were 0.005 each. Conclusions. This framework delivers well-calibrated, uncertainty-aware ICU mortality prediction with formal coverage guarantees and demographic equity. Ablation-confirmed contributions of neurodegeneration-proxy features, with PDP inflection points aligning with established clinical thresholds, provide a hypothesis-generating quantitative link between routine ICU biomarkers and the AD neurodegeneration pathway warranting prospective validation.